Through this competition, we aim to:
- Understand the strengths and limitations of various forecasting approaches.
- Test if intelligent forecasting models can outperform traditional methods.
- Support stakeholders in Côte d’Ivoire to pilot intelligent forecasting methods for service delivery of contraceptives.
- Generate evidence to encourage supply chain decision-makers to use intelligent forecasting models in other countries if the models are successful.
NB: NGOs, private sector organizations, and individuals are all eligible to compete. This competition has two overlapping phases, a Forecasting Prize to develop the model and a Field Implementation Grant. You can compete for the prize, or for the prize and the grant. You cannot compete only for the grant.
We are hosting a Forecasting Prize Competition to develop an intelligent forecasting model that will predict contraceptive consumption.
USAID will award prizes to the top two intelligent forecasting models that most accurately predict future monthly use of contraceptives in each health service delivery site:
- 20,000 USD prize for best performing model
- 5,000 USD prize for second-best performing model
Compete for the Field Implementation Grant
You may also choose to compete for the Field Implementation Grant to customize, strengthen, and pilot the model(s) developed for the Forecasting Prize with selected health service delivery sites in Côte d’Ivoire.
The competitor with the best concept note will win a grant of approximately 100,000 to 200,000 USD to test their model in Côte d’Ivoire.
To compete for the Field Implementation Grant, indicate your interest in the Forecasting Prize entry form. Then, answer the additional questions related to your implementation approach included in the EOI with your Forecasting Prize entry form.
To compete, you must submit an intelligent forecasting model and Expression of Interest (EOI). As a competitor, you will receive a data set to develop a forecasting model for service delivery sites in Côte d’Ivoire to predict future contraceptive use.
USAID will shortlist Forecasting Prize finalists to compete for the Field Implementation Grant based on the performance of their intelligent forecasting model and the quality of their EOI.